Lyseng 2-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Holbaek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
28.03.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
08.10.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 0-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyseng edged past Holbaek 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Holbaek at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lyseng and 1.33 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Holbaek?

Lyseng 2-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 31%, draw 27%, Holbaek 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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