VSK Arhus 1-2 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.93/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.29
+7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Naesby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
07.09.2024 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 2-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
09.06.2024 Naesby Naesby 3-1 HT 2-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.09.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.06.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby squeezed past VSK Arhus 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Naesby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VSK Arhus and 2.17 for Naesby.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

VSK Arhus 1-2 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 35%, draw 30%, Naesby 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VSK Arhus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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