Ballinamallard United 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.17/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.83
+8% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-0 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
16.08.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-0 HT 1-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
11.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
18.01.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
17.08.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 HT 4-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.01.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-0 HT 2-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Harland & Wolff Welders couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Harland & Wolff Welders at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballinamallard United and 2.00 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ballinamallard United 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 24%, draw 21%, Harland & Wolff Welders 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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