Limavady United 4-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.80/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.77
-55% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
08.11.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 3-2 HT 1-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
07.10.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 3-1 HT 1-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRLK
13.09.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
01.03.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
30.11.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 4-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.09.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-0 HT 0-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United cruised past Newington Youth 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Limavady United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Limavady United and 1.17 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Newington Youth?

Limavady United 4-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 45%, draw 21%, Newington Youth 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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