Dundela 1-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
30%
2.76
6+ Goals
15%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.13/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.14/1.50
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.12.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.04.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela and Ards FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundela and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ards FC?

Dundela 1-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dundela 21%, draw 25%, Ards FC 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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