Dundela 1-4 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
49%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 23% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -29%
1.63/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.69
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.04.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC swept aside Dundela 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Ards FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundela and 0.33 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Ards FC?

Dundela 1-4 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundela 34%, draw 26%, Ards FC 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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