Ards FC 1-0 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.7pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
2.18/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/2.28
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dundela
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
07.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
02.03.2024 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
25.11.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC edged past Dundela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ards FC and 1.67 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Dundela?

Ards FC 1-0 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 45%, draw 32%, Dundela 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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