Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.55
-37% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrenpoint Town
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
22.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
14.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
13.08.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
13.10.2021 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
POST-MATCH Warrenpoint Town vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town edged past Loughgall FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Warrenpoint Town and 1.60 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Warrenpoint Town vs Loughgall FC?

Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrenpoint Town vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warrenpoint Town 31%, draw 27%, Loughgall FC 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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