Armagh City 0-3 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -19%
2.28/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.96
+34% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
11.10.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-1 HT 1-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
26.04.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
22.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
02.11.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
28.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United cruised past Armagh City 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Armagh City and 1.80 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Armagh City 0-3 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 35%, draw 22%, Ballinamallard United 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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