Institute FC 0-1 Queens University — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.8
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.07
Over 2.5
66%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.7
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
51%
+11.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.9pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
44%
-10.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
56%
+10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens University EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.72/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.32
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Queens University
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Queens University Queens University 2-1 HT 1-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
11.10.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
12.03.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
27.12.2021 Queens University Queens University 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Queens University
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens University squeezed past Institute FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Institute FC at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Institute FC and 0.75 for Queens University.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Queens University?

Institute FC 0-1 Queens University in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Queens University?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 63%, draw 18%, Queens University 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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