Vipers 1-0 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
9%
8.11
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
3.08
No
64%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
34%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.2pp
9%
Draw
9%
-0.1pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+3.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
28%
+7.9pp
64%
BTTS No
72%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.05/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/2.46
-9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Calvary
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.12.2025 Calvary 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-0
AWAY Calvary
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers edged past Calvary 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 82%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Vipers had 71% of the ball to Calvary's 29%, shots finished 13-2.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Calvary?

Vipers 1-0 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Vipers 82%, draw 9%, Calvary 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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