Lugazi Municipal 0-3 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
64%
Away Win
62%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 66%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.54/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.89
-17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kampala City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2025 Kampala City Kampala City 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
30.11.2024 Lugazi Municipal 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City ran out comfortable winners over Lugazi Municipal 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lugazi Municipal and 0.50 for Kampala City.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Kampala City?

Lugazi Municipal 0-3 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 14%, draw 21%, Kampala City 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kampala City) ✗ Under 2.5
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