Express vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v URA — Team-Based Signals
Express vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
URA
UGA
0-0
HT 0-0
Express
UGA
Express 3-1 URA — Actual Match Statistics
Express saw off URA 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Express found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Express had 51% of the ball to URA's 49%, shots finished 11-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Express and 0.80 for URA.
What was the final score of Express vs URA?
Express 3-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Express 29%, draw 32%, URA 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.