Gaddafi 0-2 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
27%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -17%
0.64/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.93
-30% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SC Villa
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 0-1 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
25.04.2024 Gaddafi Gaddafi 0-1 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
13.12.2023 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
16.03.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
10.12.2021 Gaddafi Gaddafi 2-1 HT 1-1 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
0-2
AWAY SC Villa
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa saw off Gaddafi 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 35% — and on the day SC Villa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Gaddafi had 51% of the ball to SC Villa's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SC Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Gaddafi and 1.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs SC Villa?

Gaddafi 0-2 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 29%, draw 36%, SC Villa 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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