Brea 0-2 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

Brea
0-2 HT 0-2
Gernika
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2023/2024

Brea vs Gernika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brea v Gernika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brea EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.41
-14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.0 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Brea vs Gernika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brea
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gernika
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Gernika Gernika 1-0 HT 1-0 Brea Brea İS4
28.01.2023 Brea Brea 1-0 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
11.09.2022 Gernika Gernika 1-1 HT 0-0 Brea Brea İS4
POST-MATCH Brea vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika beat Brea 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gernika found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brea and 0.67 for Gernika.

What was the final score of Brea vs Gernika?

Brea 0-2 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brea vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Brea 33%, draw 33%, Gernika 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gernika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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