Compostela 2-2 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.62
Over
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra The Market 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
190 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Pontevedra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-0 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
23.01.2022 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
05.09.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-1 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
21.02.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS3
28.11.2020 Compostela Compostela 2-2 HT 2-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela and Pontevedra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Compostela and 1.40 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Pontevedra?

Compostela 2-2 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Compostela 27%, draw 29%, Pontevedra 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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