Illescas vs Ursaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Illescas v Ursaria — Team-Based Signals
Illescas vs Ursaria Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Illescas
İS4
Illescas 1-2 Ursaria — Actual Match Statistics
Ursaria edged past Illescas 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Illescas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Illescas had 44% of the ball to Ursaria's 56%, shots finished 9-10.
What was the final score of Illescas vs Ursaria?
Illescas 1-2 Ursaria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Illescas vs Ursaria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Illescas 42%, draw 31%, Ursaria 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.