Izarra 2-1 CD Calahorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.19/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.99
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
0W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Calahorra
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 2-1 HT 2-1 Izarra Izarra İS4
07.02.2021 Izarra Izarra 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
08.11.2020 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-0 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS3
23.02.2020 Izarra Izarra 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS3
06.10.2019 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra 1-0 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
2-1
AWAY CD Calahorra
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Izarra vs CD Calahorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra edged past CD Calahorra 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Izarra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Izarra had 60% of the ball to CD Calahorra's 40%, shots finished 18-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CD Calahorra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Izarra and 1.40 for CD Calahorra.

What was the final score of Izarra vs CD Calahorra?

Izarra 2-1 CD Calahorra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs CD Calahorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Izarra 38%, draw 29%, CD Calahorra 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Izarra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Izarra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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