14/04/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Llerenense vs Cacereno Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
27%
Draw
31%
40%
Away Win
40%
58%
Under 2.5
65%
42%
Over 2.5
35%
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
53%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Llerenense v Cacereno — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Llerenense
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cacereno
EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+6%
0.55/1.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.37/0.71
-48%
/
+0%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+24%
/
+37%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
265 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
443 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.7
Llerenense vs Cacereno Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Llerenense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Cacereno
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
03.12.2023
Cacereno
0-0
HT 0-0
Llerenense
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Llerenense
İS4
POST-MATCH
Llerenense vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Llerenense and Cacereno fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Llerenense vs Cacereno?
Llerenense 0-0 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Llerenense vs Cacereno?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Llerenense 34%, draw 27%, Cacereno 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cacereno) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Cacereno)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
14 Apr 2024