Mar Menor CF 2-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

Mar Menor CF
2-1 HT 0-1
UCAM Murcia
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Mar Menor CF vs UCAM Murcia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.36
Over 2.5
43%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mar Menor CF v UCAM Murcia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mar Menor CF EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.21/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.36
+1% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Mar Menor CF vs UCAM Murcia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mar Menor CF
0W-1D-2L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-1 HT 2-0 Mar Menor CF İS4
07.05.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-0 HT 1-0 Mar Menor CF İS4
08.01.2023 Mar Menor CF 0-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
POST-MATCH Mar Menor CF vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mar Menor CF squeezed past UCAM Murcia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mar Menor CF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mar Menor CF and 1.67 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Mar Menor CF vs UCAM Murcia?

Mar Menor CF 2-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mar Menor CF vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mar Menor CF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mar Menor CF 42%, draw 26%, UCAM Murcia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mar Menor CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mar Menor CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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