Marino De Luanco 0-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +13%
1.21/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.99
-5% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
30.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-3 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
17.12.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-2 HT 0-2 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 53% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.67 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria?

Marino De Luanco 0-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 46%, draw 28%, Rayo Cantabria 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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