RC Deportivo Fabril 2-2 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.24/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.47
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +116%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Deportivo Fabril
2-2
AWAY Guijuelo
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril and Guijuelo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RC Deportivo Fabril had 52% of the ball to Guijuelo's 48%, shots finished 19-17.

What was the final score of RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo?

RC Deportivo Fabril 2-2 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Deportivo Fabril vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RC Deportivo Fabril 37%, draw 31%, Guijuelo 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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