UD Logrones 0-0 Real Sociedad III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.03
Over
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
UD Logrones win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
3.46/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/2.13
+77% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Logrones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad III
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.24
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
408 Passes 155
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
45 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
0-0
AWAY Real Sociedad III
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones and Real Sociedad III fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UD Logrones at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, UD Logrones had 59% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 41%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III?

UD Logrones 0-0 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Real Sociedad III?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 64%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad III 13%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Logrones), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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