Portimonense vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Casa Pia
POR
Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense and Casa Pia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Portimonense had 46% of the ball to Casa Pia's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casa Pia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portimonense and 1.33 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Casa Pia?
Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 35%, draw 29%, Casa Pia 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.