Bahrain SC 1-3 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-9.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahrain SC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 70%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
0.00/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.80
-100% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahrain SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Muharraq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 1
20.10.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 7-2 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
17.01.2024 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
19.04.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAH
12.01.2023 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
01.12.2022 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
26.11.2021 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 Bahrain SC Bahrain SC BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahrain SC
1-3
AWAY Muharraq
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Bahrain SC vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq saw off Bahrain SC 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bahrain SC had 36% of the ball to Muharraq's 64%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bahrain SC and 2.17 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Bahrain SC vs Muharraq?

Bahrain SC 1-3 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahrain SC vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bahrain SC 17%, draw 26%, Muharraq 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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