Sitra 1-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.89/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.62
-19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
222 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-2 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
29.03.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-3 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.04.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
03.04.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-1
AWAY Al Riffa
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra and Al Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sitra had 37% of the ball to Al Riffa's 63%, shots finished 13-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sitra and 1.17 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Riffa?

Sitra 1-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sitra 27%, draw 26%, Al Riffa 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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