Adanaspor 0-3 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
35%
4.08
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.13
2-3
37%
1.82
4-5
20%
3.92
6+
11%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.45
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
22.9
X/1
9%
14.45
X/2
14%
3.67
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
1.76
2/X
15%
19.55
Value flag · 2/X at 19.55 — our 15% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.7pp
35%
Draw
21%
+14.2pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-22.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK The Market 70%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.11/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.63
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +61%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
213 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 84%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.4 Crosses 23.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
18.02.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.09.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
12.11.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.02.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.09.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
0-3
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.31 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
297 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 43
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK ran out comfortable winners over Adanaspor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Adanaspor had 49% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 51%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.31 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Adanaspor and 1.50 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Adanaspor 0-3 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 22%, draw 35%, Erzurumspor FK 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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