Almanya (K) 5-1 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
3.94
Over 2.5
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.51
No
47%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.28
2-3 Goals
34%
2.45
4-5 Goals
34%
2.22
6+ Goals
18%
3.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
2%
X/1
26%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
85%
-6.3pp
10%
Draw
8%
+1.6pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.7pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.1pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
36%
+17.6pp
47%
BTTS No
64%
-17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.81/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.53
+25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
533 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 77%
50.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
24.6 Crosses 9.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya (K)
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Avusturya (K)
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.57 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2025 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 0-6 HT 0-6 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) AVKUL
25.02.2025 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) AVKUL
16.07.2024 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
05.04.2024 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) KAVŞE
21.07.2022 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) ABK
06.10.2018 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
5-1
AWAY Avusturya (K)
4.21 xG 0.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
441 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) cruised past Avusturya (K) 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 62% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 38%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 4.21 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Almanya (K) and 0.67 for Avusturya (K).

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Almanya (K) 5-1 Avusturya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 79%, draw 10%, Avusturya (K) 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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