Almanya (K) 4-1 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.9pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
3.63/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.71
+53% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
471 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
46.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
44.9 Crosses 8.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almanya (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Avusturya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.65 xG 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
372 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2024 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
05.04.2024 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 2-3 HT 2-1 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) KAVŞE
21.07.2022 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) ABK
06.10.2018 Almanya (K) Almanya (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
4-1
AWAY Avusturya (K)
2.21 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
298 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) cruised past Avusturya (K) 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 56% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 44%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.21 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almanya (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Almanya (K) and 0.75 for Avusturya (K).

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Almanya (K) 4-1 Avusturya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 65%, draw 19%, Avusturya (K) 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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