Mathare United 0-0 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 14 Apr 2026

Mathare United
0-0 HT 0-0
Police
📅14/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mathare United vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
3.5
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
25%
-5.7pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mathare United v Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.03/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.60
+22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mathare United vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Police
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Police Police 1-0 HT 1-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
20.02.2025 Mathare United Mathare United 1-0 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
23.10.2024 Police Police 2-0 HT 1-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
15.01.2022 Mathare United Mathare United 1-2 HT 1-0 Police Police KEN2

Mathare United 0-0 Police — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
0-0
AWAY Police
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United and Police fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Police at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mathare United had 51% of the ball to Police's 49%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Police led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mathare United and 1.25 for Police.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Police?

Mathare United 0-0 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 19%, draw 36%, Police 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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