Tusker vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
Tusker 1-0 Gor Mahia — Actual Match Statistics
Tusker nicked a narrow win over Gor Mahia 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tusker had 45% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 55%, shots finished 2-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Tusker and 0.60 for Gor Mahia.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
Tusker 1-0 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tusker 24%, draw 30%, Gor Mahia 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.