Gor Mahia vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gor Mahia v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
Gor Mahia vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
Gor Mahia 1-0 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
Gor Mahia squeezed past Tusker 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Gor Mahia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Gor Mahia had 52% of the ball to Tusker's 48%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.50 for Tusker.
What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Tusker?
Gor Mahia 1-0 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 37%, draw 26%, Tusker 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.