Maritimo U23 1-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.27/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.33
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Farense U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2026 Farense U23 Farense U23 0-2 HT 0-1 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo U23
1-2
AWAY Farense U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maritimo U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 nicked a narrow win over Maritimo U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Maritimo U23 had 47% of the ball to Farense U23's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Maritimo U23 vs Farense U23?

Maritimo U23 1-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maritimo U23 34%, draw 25%, Farense U23 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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