Rio Ave U23 0-2 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.17/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.53
+28% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
03.02.2026 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
0-2
AWAY Estoril U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 beat Rio Ave U23 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Ave U23 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 44% of the ball to Estoril U23's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Estoril U23?

Rio Ave U23 0-2 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 50%, draw 23%, Estoril U23 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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