Portimonense U23 1-2 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.0pp
18%
Draw
26%
-7.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.01/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/3.49
-35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2026 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 2-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-2
AWAY Vizela U23
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 squeezed past Portimonense U23 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vizela U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 33% of the ball to Vizela U23's 67%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Vizela U23?

Portimonense U23 1-2 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 38%, draw 18%, Vizela U23 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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