Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 14 May 2025

Academia Puerto Cabello
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Melgar
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2025

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.56
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.55
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.24
6+
4%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.11
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
14%
5.65
X/2
14%
5.46
X/X
19%
4.13
2/1
2%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.9
2/X
5%
13.85
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Academia Puerto Cabello v Melgar — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Melgar The Market 39%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
1.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melgar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
297 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
5 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
23.04.2025 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello CSA

Academia Puerto Cabello 0-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
0 - 1
AWAY Melgar
0.89 xG 1.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Academia Puerto Cabello vs Melgar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melgar squeezed past Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 30% / 35%); Melgar picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Academia Puerto Cabello had 58% of the ball to Melgar's 42%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.75.

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Melgar Result & Final Score

Academia Puerto Cabello 0 - 1 Melgar in the Copa Sudamericana on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Melgar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 35%, draw 30%, Melgar 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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