Union Santa Fe 0-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 14 May 2025

Union Santa Fe
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Mushuc Runa
📅14/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2025

Union Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
17%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.89
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.19
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.41
6+
5%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.97
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.85
X/1
21%
4.02
X/2
7%
11.55
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
3%
23.75
2/2
9%
9.86
2/X
4%
18.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Union Santa Fe v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Union Santa Fe The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 19%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.78
Bad Attack Strength –
Bad Defense Strength –
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
30 Crosses –
0 Yellow Cards –

Union Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.42 xG 1.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
330 Passes 155
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe CSA

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
0 - 1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.70 xG 1.02
71% Ball Possession 29%
26 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
376 Passes 112
80% Pass Accuracy 57%
34 Box Touches 14
44 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Union Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mushuc Runa shaded a tight game against Union Santa Fe 1-0 on the road.

File this under upsets: a 60% lean on Union Santa Fe went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 49%.

The match data tells the story: Union Santa Fe had 71% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 29%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.70 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Union Santa Fe.

Union Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score

Union Santa Fe 0 - 1 Mushuc Runa in the Copa Sudamericana on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Union Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 60%, draw 23%, Mushuc Runa 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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