Mushuc Runa vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa ran out comfortable winners over Union Santa Fe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 36% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 64%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.42.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Union Santa Fe?
Mushuc Runa 3-0 Union Santa Fe in the Copa Sudamericana on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Union Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 42%, draw 25%, Union Santa Fe 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.