Lanus 1-0 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.74
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.21
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.31
2-3
48%
1.75
4-5
16%
4.8
6+
3%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.38
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
7%
9.28
X/X
18%
4.16
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
9%
8.47
2/X
4%
17.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lanus The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama The Market 22%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.88 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
0.63 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Great Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Bad
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6
12 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.55 xG 0.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
205 Passes 483
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus CSA
10.05.2012 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama LKU
03.05.2012 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus LKU
27.09.2007 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus CON CSA
20.09.2007 Lanus Lanus 2-0 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1 - 0
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.97 xG 0.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 446
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lanus vs Vasco da Gama
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lanus found just enough to beat Vasco da Gama 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Lanus had 42% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 58%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.22.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lanus and 1.20 for Vasco da Gama.

Lanus vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score

Lanus 1 - 0 Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lanus vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lanus 56%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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