Vasco da Gama vs Lanus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vasco da Gama v Lanus — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Lanus Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
LKU
2-1
HT 2-0
Lanus
LKU
3-0
HT 1-0
Lanus
CON CSA
2-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
CON CSA
Vasco da Gama 0-0 Lanus — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama and Lanus fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Vasco da Gama had 67% of the ball to Lanus's 33%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.59 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.25 for Lanus.
What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Lanus?
Vasco da Gama 0-0 Lanus in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Lanus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 40%, draw 30%, Lanus 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama) went the other way.