Boston River vs Nacional Potosi Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boston River v Nacional Potosi — Team-Based Signals
Boston River 2-1 Nacional Potosi — Actual Match Statistics
Boston River edged past Nacional Potosi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boston River as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Boston River had 68% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 32%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.12 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boston River's control.
What was the final score of Boston River vs Nacional Potosi?
Boston River 2-1 Nacional Potosi in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boston River vs Nacional Potosi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Boston River 50%, draw 29%, Nacional Potosi 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.