Club Guarani vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club Guarani v Independiente — Team-Based Signals
Club Guarani 2-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics
Club Guarani edged past Independiente 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club Guarani had 35% of the ball to Independiente's 65%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.73 to 2.09.
What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Independiente?
Club Guarani 2-1 Independiente in the Copa Sudamericana on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Independiente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 26%, draw 26%, Independiente 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.