Sundby 1-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-9.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -29%
1.11/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.11
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Avarta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Avarta Avarta 1-2 Sundby DAN3
04.10.2024 Sundby 2-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
1-0
AWAY Avarta
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby edged past Avarta 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sundby found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sundby had 43% of the ball to Avarta's 57%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sundby had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sundby and 0.50 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Avarta?

Sundby 1-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sundby 32%, draw 30%, Avarta 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avarta), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avarta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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