VSK Arhus 4-0 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.58
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Naesby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
19.10.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
07.09.2024 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 2-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
09.06.2024 Naesby Naesby 3-1 HT 2-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.09.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VSK Arhus
4-0
AWAY Naesby
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus ran out comfortable winners over Naesby 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; VSK Arhus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VSK Arhus had 48% of the ball to Naesby's 52%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VSK Arhus and 2.33 for Naesby.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

VSK Arhus 4-0 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 40%, draw 30%, Naesby 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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