FC Levadia 1-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.02/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
05.10.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.10.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
29.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 6-0 HT 3-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-0
AWAY Trans Narva
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Levadia had 66% of the ball to Trans Narva's 34%, shots finished 12-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Levadia and 0.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

FC Levadia 1-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 55%, draw 26%, Trans Narva 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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