Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.28/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.29
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.8 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guingamp
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
381 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Dunkerque Dunkerque 3-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
04.01.2025 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
13.04.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
12.08.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
07.05.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-3 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
21.12.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
1-0
AWAY Guingamp
1.45 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
369 Passes 392
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 13
6 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque squeezed past Guingamp 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Dunkerque made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Dunkerque had 48% of the ball to Guingamp's 52%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunkerque and 1.33 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Guingamp?

Dunkerque 1-0 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 39%, draw 27%, Guingamp 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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