Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
32%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kairat
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2025 Kairat Kairat 4-0 HT 3-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
02.11.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
31.03.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.08.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
23.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
15.09.2022 Kairat Kairat 1-2 HT 1-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent nicked a narrow win over Kairat 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kairat at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.83 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 30%, draw 25%, Kairat 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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