Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Al Sadd — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-3
HT 1-1
Al Sadd
KAT
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Al Gharafa 2-2 Al Sadd — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa and Al Sadd couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Al Sadd at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 41% of the ball to Al Sadd's 59%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 2.57 to 1.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Gharafa and 3.00 for Al Sadd.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?
Al Gharafa 2-2 Al Sadd in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 27%, draw 21%, Al Sadd 52%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.