Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.46
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
18%
5.17
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
9%
4.3
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.11/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.11
+55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
27.10.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.11.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
22.04.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
16.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.83 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 45%, draw 23%, Dynamo Kiev 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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