Kallithea 1-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.81
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.94
X/2
15%
7.2
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
6%
5.01
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.51/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
+24% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.7 Crosses 13.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.40 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 366
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
01.03.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
22.11.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 1-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
1-1
AWAY Panserraikos
0.45 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
340 Passes 404
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kallithea and Panserraikos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kallithea at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kallithea had 47% of the ball to Panserraikos's 53%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.45 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kallithea and 2.33 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Panserraikos?

Kallithea 1-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 48%, draw 25%, Panserraikos 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kallithea), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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